The Christmas Snow Score: which Alpine resorts are most snow-sure at Christmas
Every resort we cover, scored 0–100 on how reliably it tends to have skiable snow in Christmas week. The method, the weights and the source behind every figure are on this page.
The short answer
On our Christmas Snow Score the most snow-sure resorts we cover are Val Thorens (84/100), Cervinia (81) and Zermatt (74). What separates them is altitude: a high village and high lifts are the best predictor of cover in late December. No resort can guarantee snow in a given week, and the score is not a forecast.
Every resort, scored
28 of the 36 resorts we cover carry a score. The other 8 are waiting on a verified figure, and say which. Sort by any column.
| Checked | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Val Thorens | France | 84Very snow-sure | 2,300m | 3,230m | 20 Sept 2026 |
| Cervinia | Italy | 81Very snow-sure | 2,050m | 3,500m | 20 Sept 2026 |
| Zermatt Top figure is the Klein Matterhorn station, the highest lift-served point in Europe. | Switzerland | 74Very snow-sure | 1,608m | 3,883m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| Val d'Isère | France | 73Very snow-sure | 1,849m | 3,456m | 20 Sept 2026 |
| Saas-Fee Top figure is Mittelallalin, reached by the Metro Alpin funicular. | Switzerland | 71Very snow-sure | 1,798m | 3,457m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| Tignes | France | 71Very snow-sure | 1,810m | 3,456m | 20 Sept 2026 |
| Alpe d'Huez | France | 70Very snow-sure | 1,860m | 3,330m | 20 Sept 2026 |
| Les Arcs Arc 1600, the lowest of the four villages; Arc 2000 is the highest. | France | 59Usually reliable | 1,600m | 3,250m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| Les Menuires | France | 59Usually reliable | 1,850m | 2,850m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| Verbier Top figure is Mont Fort, the high point of the 4 Vallées. | Switzerland | 57Usually reliable | 1,490m | 3,329m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| Montgenèvre Ski area figure is the Via Lattea, which Montgenèvre is part of. | France | 55Usually reliable | 1,789m | 2,789m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| Avoriaz | France | 48Weather-dependent | 1,800m | 2,466m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| Valloire | France | 47Weather-dependent | 1,430m | 3,000m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| La Plagne Montchavin, the lowest of La Plagne's eleven villages; the higher ones sit between roughly 1,800 m and 2,100 m. | France | 46Weather-dependent | 1,250m | 3,250m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| Méribel | France | 46Weather-dependent | 1,450m | 2,952m | 20 Sept 2026 |
| Flaine | France | 43Weather-dependent | 1,600m | 2,561m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| Lech Ski area figure is Ski Arlberg, which Lech shares with St Anton, Zürs and Warth. | Austria | 43Weather-dependent | 1,444m | 2,811m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| Madonna di Campiglio | Italy | 42Weather-dependent | 1,553m | 2,600m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| Corvara and Colfosco Ski area figure is Alta Badia. | Italy | 41Weather-dependent | 1,568m | 2,550m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| Cortina d'Ampezzo | Italy | 38Weather-dependent | 1,224m | 2,930m | 20 Sept 2026 |
| St Anton am Arlberg | Austria | 38Weather-dependent | 1,304m | 2,811m | 20 Sept 2026 |
| Courchevel Courchevel Le Praz, the lowest of the villages; the principal village, Courchevel 1850, sits considerably higher. | France | 36Weather-dependent | 1,300m | 2,738m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| Serre Chevalier The lowest of the linked villages along the valley. | France | 34Weather-dependent | 1,200m | 2,800m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| La Villa Altitude is the commune of Badia, which La Villa sits within. Ski area figure is Alta Badia. | Italy | 32Weather-dependent | 1,315m | 2,550m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| San Cassiano Altitude is the commune of Badia, which San Cassiano sits within. Ski area figure is Alta Badia. | Italy | 32Weather-dependent | 1,315m | 2,550m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| Les Carroz Ski area figure is the Grand Massif, which Les Carroz is part of. | France | 24Weather-dependent | 1,140m | 2,500m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| Morzine | France | 18Weather-dependent | 1,000m | 2,466m | 20 Sept 2026 |
| Samoëns The village is low; the skiing is reached by cable car to Samoëns 1600 and is part of the Grand Massif. | France | 12Weather-dependent | 710m | 2,500m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| Chamonix The town itself. Chamonix's ski areas are separate and reached by lift or bus. | France | Not yet scored | 1,035m | Not verified | 21 Sept 2026 |
| Courmayeur | Italy | Not yet scored | Not verified | Not verified | — |
| Ischgl | Austria | Not yet scored | 1,377m | Not verified | 20 Sept 2026 |
| La Rosière | France | Not yet scored | 1,850m | Not verified | 21 Sept 2026 |
| La Thuile | Italy | Not yet scored | 1,441m | Not verified | 21 Sept 2026 |
| Les Deux Alpes | France | Not yet scored | Not verified | 3,600m | 21 Sept 2026 |
| Obergurgl | Austria | Not yet scored | 1,930m | Not verified | 20 Sept 2026 |
| Val Gardena | Italy | Not yet scored | 1,563m | Not verified | 20 Sept 2026 |
The Christmas Snow Score compares resorts on altitude, terrain, snowmaking and past December openings. It describes how reliable a resort tends to be, not what the snow will do this year — Alpine conditions vary every season and nobody can guarantee them.
How the score is calculated
The score is arithmetic, not opinion. Each input is scaled to 0–100 against the real Alpine range, multiplied by its weight, and the weighted results are added up. The weights reflect how much each factor predicts cover in the last week of December:
- Village altitude — 33%. Scaled from 800m (scores nothing) to 2,300m (full marks, Val Thorens). It is where you sleep and where the nursery slopes are, and the first snow to go in a thin December.
- Top of the lift-served ski area — 27%. Scaled from 2,000m to 3,900m, about the height of the Klein Matterhorn. High ground holds natural snow in December when the valley does not.
- Snowmaking coverage — 20%. The share of pistes covered by snowmaking. Early-season cover in a dry December is often mostly made snow.
- December opening record — 12%. How often the main ski area opened on schedule in recent Decembers — only ever from a verified series.
- Glacier access — 8%. Year-round glacier skiing, which is a safety net rather than a holiday on its own.
A missing figure is missing, not zero
When an input has not been verified, it is left out and the weights of the inputs we do hold are rescaled to fill the gap. Scoring an unknown as zero would punish a resort for not having been researched yet. Below 60% of the weight, no score is published at all.
What today’s scores rest on
At present no resort we cover has a verified snowmaking figure or December opening record, so every published score rests on its two altitude inputs, which carry 60% of the weight between them. That is the limit of the score today, and each resort page lists the inputs still to verify. As sourced snowmaking and December records are added the scores will move, and the ranking with them.
Resorts made of several villages
A resort’s published village altitude is usually its lowest village. La Plagne, Les Arcs and Courchevel each have villages hundreds of metres apart, so the figure is stored as published and the village it describes is named in the table. For a snow score the lowest village is the cautious reading: it answers whether the lowest beds could be short of snow.
Why vertical drop is not scored
A long vertical drop predicts good terrain, not December snow. Scoring it put Val Thorens, the highest resort village in Europe, below lower resorts with a longer drop — so it is shown on each resort page as context and carries no weight.
Questions about the score
What is the Christmas Snow Score?
A 0–100 rating of how reliably a resort tends to have skiable snow in the week around Christmas. It is calculated from village altitude (33% of the weight), the height of the lift-served ski area (27%), snowmaking coverage (20%), how often the resort opened on schedule in recent Decembers (12%) and glacier access (8%). Every resort page shows exactly which inputs were used, what each contributed and what is still unverified. Where too little is verified to be meaningful, no score is published at all rather than a number built on guesswork.
Is the Christmas Snow Score a forecast?
No. It describes how reliable a resort has tended to be, from its altitude, terrain and snowmaking. It says nothing about what the weather will do in a particular year. Alpine snow in December varies enormously from season to season, and we will never tell you snow is guaranteed.
Why do some resorts have no Snow Score?
Because we have not finished verifying the figures it is built from. A resort needs both a village altitude and a lift-served altitude before a score means anything, and where a source was ambiguous we left the figure empty rather than guess. Each resort page says which figure is missing.