The Christmas Snow Score: which Alpine resorts are most snow-sure at Christmas

Every resort we cover, scored 0–100 on how reliably it tends to have skiable snow in Christmas week. The method, the weights and the source behind every figure are on this page.

The short answer

On our Christmas Snow Score the most snow-sure resorts we cover are Val Thorens (84/100), Cervinia (81) and Zermatt (74). What separates them is altitude: a high village and high lifts are the best predictor of cover in late December. No resort can guarantee snow in a given week, and the score is not a forecast.

Every resort, scored

28 of the 36 resorts we cover carry a score. The other 8 are waiting on a verified figure, and say which. Sort by any column.

Download the data (CSV)
Christmas Snow Score for every resort we cover, with village and top-lift altitude
Checked
Val ThorensFrance84Very snow-sure2,300m3,230m20 Sept 2026
CerviniaItaly81Very snow-sure2,050m3,500m20 Sept 2026
Zermatt

Top figure is the Klein Matterhorn station, the highest lift-served point in Europe.

Switzerland74Very snow-sure1,608m3,883m21 Sept 2026
Val d'IsèreFrance73Very snow-sure1,849m3,456m20 Sept 2026
Saas-Fee

Top figure is Mittelallalin, reached by the Metro Alpin funicular.

Switzerland71Very snow-sure1,798m3,457m21 Sept 2026
TignesFrance71Very snow-sure1,810m3,456m20 Sept 2026
Alpe d'HuezFrance70Very snow-sure1,860m3,330m20 Sept 2026
Les Arcs

Arc 1600, the lowest of the four villages; Arc 2000 is the highest.

France59Usually reliable1,600m3,250m21 Sept 2026
Les MenuiresFrance59Usually reliable1,850m2,850m21 Sept 2026
Verbier

Top figure is Mont Fort, the high point of the 4 Vallées.

Switzerland57Usually reliable1,490m3,329m21 Sept 2026
Montgenèvre

Ski area figure is the Via Lattea, which Montgenèvre is part of.

France55Usually reliable1,789m2,789m21 Sept 2026
AvoriazFrance48Weather-dependent1,800m2,466m21 Sept 2026
ValloireFrance47Weather-dependent1,430m3,000m21 Sept 2026
La Plagne

Montchavin, the lowest of La Plagne's eleven villages; the higher ones sit between roughly 1,800 m and 2,100 m.

France46Weather-dependent1,250m3,250m21 Sept 2026
MéribelFrance46Weather-dependent1,450m2,952m20 Sept 2026
FlaineFrance43Weather-dependent1,600m2,561m21 Sept 2026
Lech

Ski area figure is Ski Arlberg, which Lech shares with St Anton, Zürs and Warth.

Austria43Weather-dependent1,444m2,811m21 Sept 2026
Madonna di CampiglioItaly42Weather-dependent1,553m2,600m21 Sept 2026
Corvara and Colfosco

Ski area figure is Alta Badia.

Italy41Weather-dependent1,568m2,550m21 Sept 2026
Cortina d'AmpezzoItaly38Weather-dependent1,224m2,930m20 Sept 2026
St Anton am ArlbergAustria38Weather-dependent1,304m2,811m20 Sept 2026
Courchevel

Courchevel Le Praz, the lowest of the villages; the principal village, Courchevel 1850, sits considerably higher.

France36Weather-dependent1,300m2,738m21 Sept 2026
Serre Chevalier

The lowest of the linked villages along the valley.

France34Weather-dependent1,200m2,800m21 Sept 2026
La Villa

Altitude is the commune of Badia, which La Villa sits within. Ski area figure is Alta Badia.

Italy32Weather-dependent1,315m2,550m21 Sept 2026
San Cassiano

Altitude is the commune of Badia, which San Cassiano sits within. Ski area figure is Alta Badia.

Italy32Weather-dependent1,315m2,550m21 Sept 2026
Les Carroz

Ski area figure is the Grand Massif, which Les Carroz is part of.

France24Weather-dependent1,140m2,500m21 Sept 2026
MorzineFrance18Weather-dependent1,000m2,466m20 Sept 2026
Samoëns

The village is low; the skiing is reached by cable car to Samoëns 1600 and is part of the Grand Massif.

France12Weather-dependent710m2,500m21 Sept 2026
Chamonix

The town itself. Chamonix's ski areas are separate and reached by lift or bus.

FranceNot yet scored1,035mNot verified21 Sept 2026
CourmayeurItalyNot yet scoredNot verifiedNot verified
IschglAustriaNot yet scored1,377mNot verified20 Sept 2026
La RosièreFranceNot yet scored1,850mNot verified21 Sept 2026
La ThuileItalyNot yet scored1,441mNot verified21 Sept 2026
Les Deux AlpesFranceNot yet scoredNot verified3,600m21 Sept 2026
ObergurglAustriaNot yet scored1,930mNot verified20 Sept 2026
Val GardenaItalyNot yet scored1,563mNot verified20 Sept 2026

The Christmas Snow Score compares resorts on altitude, terrain, snowmaking and past December openings. It describes how reliable a resort tends to be, not what the snow will do this year — Alpine conditions vary every season and nobody can guarantee them.

How the score is calculated

The score is arithmetic, not opinion. Each input is scaled to 0–100 against the real Alpine range, multiplied by its weight, and the weighted results are added up. The weights reflect how much each factor predicts cover in the last week of December:

  • Village altitude33%. Scaled from 800m (scores nothing) to 2,300m (full marks, Val Thorens). It is where you sleep and where the nursery slopes are, and the first snow to go in a thin December.
  • Top of the lift-served ski area27%. Scaled from 2,000m to 3,900m, about the height of the Klein Matterhorn. High ground holds natural snow in December when the valley does not.
  • Snowmaking coverage20%. The share of pistes covered by snowmaking. Early-season cover in a dry December is often mostly made snow.
  • December opening record12%. How often the main ski area opened on schedule in recent Decembers — only ever from a verified series.
  • Glacier access8%. Year-round glacier skiing, which is a safety net rather than a holiday on its own.

A missing figure is missing, not zero

When an input has not been verified, it is left out and the weights of the inputs we do hold are rescaled to fill the gap. Scoring an unknown as zero would punish a resort for not having been researched yet. Below 60% of the weight, no score is published at all.

What today’s scores rest on

At present no resort we cover has a verified snowmaking figure or December opening record, so every published score rests on its two altitude inputs, which carry 60% of the weight between them. That is the limit of the score today, and each resort page lists the inputs still to verify. As sourced snowmaking and December records are added the scores will move, and the ranking with them.

Resorts made of several villages

A resort’s published village altitude is usually its lowest village. La Plagne, Les Arcs and Courchevel each have villages hundreds of metres apart, so the figure is stored as published and the village it describes is named in the table. For a snow score the lowest village is the cautious reading: it answers whether the lowest beds could be short of snow.

Why vertical drop is not scored

A long vertical drop predicts good terrain, not December snow. Scoring it put Val Thorens, the highest resort village in Europe, below lower resorts with a longer drop — so it is shown on each resort page as context and carries no weight.

Questions about the score

What is the Christmas Snow Score?

A 0–100 rating of how reliably a resort tends to have skiable snow in the week around Christmas. It is calculated from village altitude (33% of the weight), the height of the lift-served ski area (27%), snowmaking coverage (20%), how often the resort opened on schedule in recent Decembers (12%) and glacier access (8%). Every resort page shows exactly which inputs were used, what each contributed and what is still unverified. Where too little is verified to be meaningful, no score is published at all rather than a number built on guesswork.

Is the Christmas Snow Score a forecast?

No. It describes how reliable a resort has tended to be, from its altitude, terrain and snowmaking. It says nothing about what the weather will do in a particular year. Alpine snow in December varies enormously from season to season, and we will never tell you snow is guaranteed.

Why do some resorts have no Snow Score?

Because we have not finished verifying the figures it is built from. A resort needs both a village altitude and a lift-served altitude before a score means anything, and where a source was ambiguous we left the figure empty rather than guess. Each resort page says which figure is missing.